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Taxing Our Crystal Ball (or, what a Biden Presidency means for your taxes)

Among the many things concerning our clients now, potential changes in tax law pending a change in party in the White House is starting to make its way up the worry list. The differences in tax policy between Presidential candidates Donald Trump and Joe Biden are quite significant.  Current polls show the Democratic candidate with a substantial lead, which suggests that all of us should prepare for the possibility of a different tax regime in 2021.  But what, specifically, should we consider doing as the elections approach?

The Biden tax proposal would raise taxes on individuals with yearly incomes above $400,000, from the current 37% to 39.6%.  Social Security taxes would stay the same for most Americans at 6.2% assessed on the first $137,700 of income but the plan would then impose a 6.2% Social Security tax on any income above $400,000. There would not be a Social Security tax on income between $137,700 and $400,000.

The lesson here is that if you aren’t earning more than $400,000 a year, it may not be necessary to do any advance preparation.  People who do fall into that income category might consider taking some of their expected income that would normally fall into the 2021 tax year in 2020, instead—potentially saving tens of thousands of dollars in taxes.  For example, workers whose 2020 bonuses would push their income above $400,000 could ask that the bonus to be paid out before the new year.  Executives with non-qualified stock options that produce ordinary income taxes should consider selling in 2020 rather than 2021.

The Biden plan would also raise capital gains taxes on taxpayers with more than $1 million in income so when a person sells investments for a profit, the gains would be taxed at a 39.6% rate, even if they were held for more than a year.  Currently, the highest capital gains tax rate is 20%. It might make sense for those individuals to time their gains and losses, selling assets in 2020 to take advantage of the lower rate, now.

Finally, a President Biden would push for a reduction in the estate tax exemption of $11.58 million per person, down to $5.49 million, adjusted each subsequent year for inflation.  For high net worth families who would be affected, it might be time to move assets out of their estate before the laws are changed.  They could accelerate their gifting programs and, because the proposal would also eliminate the step-up in basis at death, the best assets to gift would be highly-appreciated stock or closely-held shares.

As you can see, most Americans won’t be affected by these proposals, which means that the higher taxes won’t carry a lot of weight with most voters.  For those who would be impacted, it always helps to have a contingency plan and we’ll be working on those plans with our clients. For everyone else, you can move this taxing concern back toward the bottom of your worry list!

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